INTERNAL · TRANSPORT WORKSTREAM

Ashara Mubaraka 1448H · London

Husainy Masjid UB5 6AG · 16–24 Jun 2026 · Cap. 10,000

📅 9 days 👥 10K 🚌 10 buses Rev 3

📊 Snapshot

👥
Capacity
10,000
vs 15K in 1444
🚌
Per window
~1,700
6-min headway
🅿️
Parking
~800
~3,200 ppl
⚠️
Kerb load
over capacity

🚨 Top issues

🚨

Mandeville kerb 5× over capacity

360 veh/2hr sustainable vs 1,860 demand. Push D4 Bridport (canal), use Northala for overflow.

📍

27% of attendees not fully placed

1,450 Rectory unconfirmed + 1,225 unaccounted. Validate Rectory; refine residual.

⏱️

Next 24 hours

Scrap Elite · confirm Hujjat · lock 10-coach contract.

🚐 Mode split — how 10K arrive

Mode breakdown

🚇
Public Transport
3,500
Tube 2K + Bus 1.5K
🚕
Taxi / Uber
2,500
4 drop zones
🚶
P&W Rectory
1,450
20 min walk
Unaccounted
1,225
Neighbourhood?
🚐
P&R Hujjat
1,150
Only shuttle
🚶‍♂️
Local walk
500
Residents
🚙
Qasreali
275
Senior staff
📈
Elite swing
+2,130
if Elite added

🗺️ Live map

💡

Pulsing green pin = D4 Bridport (canal)

3-min walk via canal bridge — push in attendee comms.

🅿️ All sites

PRIMARY · CONFIRM
🅿️ Park & Ride

Hujjat Harefield KSIMC

Moorhall Rd, Uxbridge UB9 6NS
Cars400–500
People1,200–1,500

Only Jamaat shuttle. 10 double-deckers, 45–50 min loop, 6-min headway, ~1,700/window. Disabled access here.

VALIDATE
🚶 Park & Walk

Rectory Park

Doncaster Drive, Northolt
Cars500–600
People1,500–1,800

~20 min walk, no general shuttle. 8–10 Merc Vitos for disabled. Only if Hujjat insufficient.

SCRAP?
🅿️ P&R Extension

Elite Banquet

Range scenario
CarsTBD
Peopleup to 3,280

Steering decision unlocks coach contract scoping. Current rec: scrap.

CONFIRMED
🚙 Reserved

MSC Reserved

On-site
Cars40
People~160

Senior Qasreali + contractors only.

IN TALKS
🚌 Coach Zone

Belvue Road

UB5 5QQ
Max kerb2 coaches
Walk~6 min

Coaches only. Drop, loop to end, return. Avoid 08:30–09:00 school.

UNSPECIFIED
🅿️ Additional

Slide 14 Site

Location not in plan
Cars200–300
People~1,000

Worth follow-up — could close part of unaccounted gap.

📋 Summary

SiteRoleCarsPeopleStatus
HujjatP&R400–5001,200–1,500Confirm
RectoryP&W500–6001,500–1,800Validate
EliteP&R extTBDup to 3,280Scrap?
MSCReserved40~160OK
BelvueCoachTalks
Slide 14Add'l200–300~1,000TBD

📍 4 drop-off points

1

Castle Rd / Mandeville

🚶 ~15 min

Public road kerb. Flow capped. 5× over capacity.

Overloaded
2

Northala Fields

🚶 ~10 min

Public parking. First-come overflow.

Confirmed
3

Horseshoe Crescent

🚶 ~11 min

Residential — set-down only, no idling.

Confirmed
4

Bridport / Derby (canal)

🚶 ~3 min ⚡

Canal bridge into masjid. Closest. Push in comms.

⚡ PROMOTE

⚠️ Mandeville kerb model

Capacity
~360
360
Demand
~1,860 (5×)
1,860
~2,500 taxi/Uber (~1,560 veh) + ~300 kerb parkers = ~1,860 over 2hr peak.

The fix

Spread to all 4 spots · push D4 · Northala as overflow · stagger via ITS · push Tube comms.

🚇 Public transport (3,500 ppl)

🚇 TOP NODE

Northolt Underground

Central Line · 9 min walk
People~2,000
Freq2–3 min

Single biggest PT contribution. Recommend Central Line hotels.

🚌 BUS · 6 ROUTES

Bus corridor

~1,500 people · 2–4 min walks
E10
Ealing
140
Heathrow
SL9
Loop
120
Hounslow
90
Local
395
Greenford
N7
Night

Blue = the 3 promoted in travel guide.

🚶 Walking — last leg

🚇
From Tube
9 min
700m
🚌
From bus
2–4 min
110–270m
🏘️
Locals
Varies
500 ppl
🅿️
Rectory
20 min
P&W trade
🚸

Rowdell Rd remains live

3 crossings: West (gate), Central (MSC), East (Belvue jct). Marshalling = another dept.

⚠️ Mandeville kerb

🕐 Day shape — pressure curve

HARDEST
🌙 Evening egress
Darkness + parallel release
2ND
☀️ Morning ingress
Largest volume · school clash
3RD
🍽️ Lunch egress
Clashes 15:00 pickup
EASY
🌆 Evening ingress
Small net-new

🚌 Shuttle math

Each way
~20 min
Unload
+5 min
Full loop
45–50 min
Headway
6 min

Throughput

10 × 85 seats × 2 loops = ~1,700 ppl per window.

🚨 Risks

Kerb 5× over

360/2hr vs 1,860 demand. Spillback risk.

School clash

Coaches avoid 08:30–09:00. Lunch hits 15:00 pickup.

Rectory unconfirmed

1,500–1,800 ppl. Site visit needed.

1,225 unaccounted

Likely neighbourhood parking + walk-ins.

Belvue narrow

Single-lane. Max 2 coaches at kerb.

Rowdell live highway

3 crossings — handoff to another dept.

✅ Open decisions

1

Decide Elite

Rec: scrap. Unlocks coach contract.

2

Confirm Hujjat

Lock site + 10-coach contract.

3

Validate Rectory

Site visit + capacity check.

4

Drop-off comms

All 4 spots; push D4.

Next 24 hours

Elite decision · Hujjat lock · coach operator. Three confirms unlock the rest.

📚 Lessons from 1444

C&L Country
~600
✅ Only shuttle
Belvue Park
~200
Qasreali
Mandeville
~200
No shuttle
Rectory
~100
❌ Underused

💡 Key lesson

Distance + no shuttle = empty spaces. Rectory had only ~100 cars in 1444. P&R + comms beats raw parking capacity.

1444 split (~15K)

What changed for 1448

Capacity ↓

15K → 10K (~33% less).

C&L → Hujjat

New P&R site, 10 buses.

Rowdell live

Biggest op change — not closed.